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美国亨利中心冬季天然气价格创历史新低

来源:石油人 发布时间:2019-12-03

据全球天然气新闻2019年12月2日丹佛报道,由于本季度日益强劲的供应前景继续拖累市场情绪,美国基准的亨利中心冬季天然气平衡价格最近跌到了历史新低。

普氏能源资讯最新发布的M2MS远期合约数据显示,2020年1月、2月和3月合约均价跌至2.45美元/百万英热单位,并在11月27日创下了2013年以来的最低水平。

在现货市场,亨利中心冬季天然气价格最近几周也面临下行压力。初步结算数据显示,在11月初攀升至2.80万美元/百万英热单位的价位以后,自那以来,这个价格下跌了20%以上,周一的交易价格约为每百万英热单位2.25美元。

虽然短期天气预报似乎在推动现货市场走弱,但冬季平衡价格下降之际,美国强劲的生产和强劲的库存水平有望使美国市场长期供应充足。

不过,中期天气预报也加入了看跌亨利中心冬季天然气价格前景的行列,目前预测今年冬季美国大陆大部分地区的气温将高于平均水平。

李峻 编译自 全球天然气新闻

原文如下:

Henry Hub winter natural gas prices hit record low

Balance-of-winter gas prices at the US benchmark Henry Hub sank to a record low recently as an increasingly robust supply outlook for this season continues to drag align="justify">Falling to just $2.45/MMBtu, the January, February and March 2020 contract-average settled November 27 at its lowest dating back to 2013, S&P Global Platts' most recently published M2MS forwards data show.

In the cash market, Henry Hub gas has also faced downward pressure in recent weeks. After climbing into the mid-$2.80s/MMBtu in early November, prices have since fallen by over 20%, to levels around $2.25/MMBtu in Monday trading, according to preliminary settlement data.

While short-term weather forecasts appear to be driving weakness in the cash market, lower balance-of-winter prices come as strong US production and robust storage levels promise to keep the US market well supplied over the longer haul.

Adding to the bearish winter-season outlook, though, are medium-term weather forecasts that now predict above-average temperatures will endure across much of the continental US this winter.

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